Wednesday, January 28, 2015

796 Theft of 27 Jan

Bitcoin thefts come in all shapes and sizes.  Recently 796, a Chinese bitcoin exchange, has one thousand bitcoins stolen from them via a series of social and technical attacks.  This isn't a very large theft, only representing less than CN¥ 1,500,000,000, which translates to US$250,000 or the cost of a double wide trailer in silicon valley.  But the real question to be asked in this blog is this: does the evidence on the blockchain match the narrative presented in the official explanations?

The Narrative

CoinTelegraph was able to talk with 796, and in combination with a post on weibo (hope you can read Chinese) the following narrative emerged.  Being a bitcoin exchange they are always a target for theft and abuse, and three months ago they migrated their servers to a cloud host.  However somehow a hacker was able to replace one users address with another similar address.  At this point the hacker needed to simply wait for a transaction to be posted.  And they got lucky with a large 1000BTC transaction.

This is the point of the story where one of the ugly truths of cyber defense becomes manifest.  You have to be 100% in all of your defenses and secondary systems, but the hacker only has to get lucky once or twice.  This hacker had already had some luck getting the data updated on the server.  They had another stroke of luck getting the bitcoins out.  First, the weibo post indicated there was another level of approvals needed to permit the transaction because the transaction looked suspicious because of the use of different IPs.  But the transaction met the standards of approval so the transaction was processed.

About five hours later the customer who initiated the withdraw is in contact with 796 over the phone and they indicate the bitcoin had not shown up in the customer's destination address.  At this point a full scale investigation is launched, and it is revealed that the coins went to an address that was similar to the address that was intended.  This is where the hacker got lucky: by using a similar address it passed both 796 manual review and the customers manual review of the information.  Because when it comes down to it 35 characters of randomness does get tiring on the eyes after a while and if you have to commit it to memory, you probably only memorize five characters or so.

After the details are sorted out and the investigation is concluded 796 owed up to the theft, and took the losses out of company profits.  For 796.com client losses have a senior claim to shareholder losses, so there was no vote or consultation with the investors.

The Blockchain Evidence

On the 8btc.com forum (8btc is a Chinese language bitcoin forum) one post identified the theft address as 1CvGkU...2wrU.  There was one large transaction at 15:50 GMT on 27 Jul.  The whole of China is on the +8:00 time zone, so the timing of the transaction would be 23:50, consistent with the weibo post.  It was then committed to block 340748 a nearly a minute later.  So did a suspect transaction go out?  The evidence does match the narrative. 

But there is also the second half of the narrative.  796 also said that they would take responsibility for the theft.  About 13 hours later another withdraw of 999BTC is sent to the address 1CvGkM...vJwU.    Not that the first four characters of this address matches the first five characters of the theft address. It also matches up with the claim of the insertion of a similar address.  Note however, that this is 1 BTC short of making the customer whole.  If we look at the other transactions to the 1CvGkM address we see another transaction an hour earlier.

Ignore the dates on the transactions.  These are self-reported by the miners and the protocol allows for something on the order of two hours of skew. In the block prior to the 999BTC transaction a 1 BTC transaction is sent to the correct address.  I presume that this was done to test the waters of their system to make sure that the reported address can be trusted.  The next block is when the 999BTC is sent, and three blocks after that the customer then gathers the coins and spends it in two separate transactions.

These two transactions made the customer whole and the timeframe seems reasonable enough, being the next business day during business hours in China.

Technial Details

You have probably noticed that I elide the transaction identifiers and addresses in my images and in my text.  There is one principal reason for that, and it's not to protect privacy or redact data.  The reason is that 64 hex digits in a row and 35 alphanumerics in a row are hard on the eyes.  I take the six leading characters and the four trailing characters because one sixth to one third of the data is enough to reproduce my findings.  There are many occasions where a single address or a single transaction when elided will look like another address or transaction id.  However, when you assemble the network and take the elided addresses and transaction ids in context, the elided data provides enough information to reproduce the data displayed in my images.

The cognitive fatigue of looking at all of that data played a part in this hack, so it is my hope that by slashing the amount of data shown that the user might be able to process all of what is shown, rather than a part of the whole that varies between users.  I am fairly certain that it is good enough for analysis.

In fact, if anyone can show me a transaction on the blockchain where one address combined with the input and output transactions cannot be distinguished from a similar transaction based on the elided values, I'll send you a box of girl scout cookies. Of course I'll only pay up when girl scout cookies are on sale.  If you can show me one below block 340950 then I'll even let you pick the (in-stock) flavor of cookies.  This offer is good only for the first taker however, and only in jurisdictions where they are legal (they are addictive after all).

Monday, January 19, 2015

BitStamp Theft - Two Weeks Later

Before I get into the analysis I'de like to thank all of you who have found me in the past two weeks. What used to be a sleepy and infrequent technical blog resulted in a story on CoinDesk (where they took my analysis and re-told it in a form even an e-mail administrator can understand), an interview on The Bitcoin Game podcast over at Let's Talk Bitcoin, and I even got a name-drop on GigaOm.  As always your interest and feedback is appreciated.

BitStamp Theft From Old Wallet Addresses is Still Ongoing

Now that it's been over two weeks since the hack you would think that people have received the memo to not use their old BitStamp deposit addresses or at least to not put large sums of bitcoin in them.  You would be wrong.

Last Friday there was a 700 BTC deposit that was caught up in the heist.  Check out the block numbers and transaction time.  It was stolen in the block after it was confirmed in and it was also stolen in 3 minutes flat from the confirmation of the previous transaction.  Also, this wasn't an account that has been stolen from before, this the first transaction to the theft wallet for this address.

One obvious question is "was this a customer?"  I consider them a Bitstamp customer because they have shared transactions with other affected accounts before.  One such transaction is 311f9f which shared inputs with 18dsZT and 1BPezx, both of which were "doners" to the 1J2Ls theft address.



They have been at this address with Bitstamp for over a year now and have made several sizable deposits before.

This transaction is actually relevant for reasons other than its loss.  On my podcast I said if I had to make a Vegas bet about what I thought happened I would have gone for some form of server modification in the transaction signing program.  I think I would lose money if I ever make that bet since this seems to be conclusive evidence that private keys were lost in the hack, or keys that run a deterministic wallet were leaked and the thief knows what to do with them (which would explain the change address quirk with cold storage).  I was hedging my bets because I didn't think such a leakage was necessary for this theft, but now I really see little alternative to that conclusion.  Since this transaction occurred over a week since the hack occurred it is unimaginable that the old servers were still running and processing transactions, and the speed of the movement combined with the high fee indicates this isn't a normal transaction.  This will likely lead to some very uncomfortable discussions between the customer, Bitstamp, and whoever the customer is accountable to.

Stolen Coins Continue to be Spent

The last time I looked at the outputs I saw only three locations where you could confirm they were being mixed with other coins.  Now, the spending is going in earnest all over the place.  I considered doing a comprehensive analysis of the particular places they were mixed, but that would take way too many words to write about.

As of block number 339205, which cleared on or about Friday 16 Jan 2015 at 5:33 GMT, a rounded total of 19,940 BTC has been deposited in the 1L2Js theft address.  About 95% of those stolen coins have been spent out of that address.  For the most part the 5% of the coins remaining represent new balances arriving after the theft went public.  For transactions and outputs that are one step away from the theft address a rounded total of 19,274 BTC is either sitting in unspent transaction outputs (60%, or about 11,495) or has been spent in a transaction (40%, or about 7,752).  The sum on the first step is greater than the original because some of these transactions involve coins that were not involved in the theft.  The second step shows a similar unspent/spent ratio (54%/46%) but a significantly higher rate of mixing with coins outside the theft.

One interesting outbound transaction from the theft involves 1 BTC that has been sent to the Sarutobi iOS game. This is a game that rewarded players with 100 bit donations (just over 2 cents when I was writing this post) if they played the game well.  It took a long and winding road, but after 21 transactions Sarutori starts splitting it up into it's hot wallet address 3MXxfN.


All of the transactions not on the top line are 100% derived from the stolen coins, all the way to the very bottom row.  And it gets even more insane when you go down some of those chains I didn't expand after Saurtobi split it up into quarters. For these four peel chains, until it hits the users wallet for those transactions, the bitcoins have a 100% taint from the theft address.  And those peel chains down the 3MXxfN paths are insanely long, some of the longest peel chains on the blockchain.  And those have all been formed in the last three weeks.

Conclusion

Unless something else interesting happens with the Bitstamp theft coins, I don't see myself returning to report on their propagation across the blockchain.  There is just too many threads forming from the coins that have been spent and they are for the most part unconnected to each other.  I find it unlikely at this point that any of the coins will be returned "intact" to Bitstamp (sorry).  The thief has proven that he can unload 40% of them inside of two weeks, so the other 60% may just be bag holders who may or may not be aware of the true origin of their balance.

If you know of any interesting transactions on the blockchain that may benefit from a visual analysis, feel free to drop me a line at danno.ferrin@gmail.com or tweet me at @Numisight and I'll take a look at it.  I cannot guarantee blog coverage if I don't find any entertaining findings.  I am also open to paid investigations or paid consulting relating to blockchain analysis, and I can be as public or confidential as you desire.  For these inquiries please send email to danno@numisight.com.

Thursday, January 8, 2015

BitStamp Theft Bitcoins Being Spent

The BitStamp Theft coins are more than on the move, they are being spent or being prepared for spending. The controller of the 1L2Js address has a problem, since the vast majority of the bitcoins that were stolen have been placed into a single address. Anyone who looks at addresses would clearly be able to see that those coins were stolen. And any regulated exchange is supposed to engage in these pattern matching practices, so if they want Dollars or Euros then they need to do some gymnastics.

Up until block number 338060 the presumed theft address 1L2JsXHPMYuAa9ugvHGLwkdstCPUDemNCf has kept it's output coins in a closed system. By closed system I mean that if you trace all input coins repeatedly every coin would pass through a 1L2Js address eventually.  The first address to break the pattern is 15wsXq5uSe2aT5BssLvQehUAQVn525RH25.  First we need to be careful of false positives, to make sure we are not just reporting someone tagging an involved address with 666 bits.  So here is the "heratige" of the 15wsX coins:

The very top transaction, 8328a2 contains 13 inputs from the 1L2Js address associated with the theft.  The gathered amounts are then peeled off until we have two 1BTC amounts in the 15wsX address.

Quick sidebar: note that even though the entire source of the BTC can be traced back to the hack, we cannot presume the controller of 15wsX is the same as the controller of the theft coins.  It is very easy for each of those peel chain steps to be the deposit to another party willing to buy hot bitcoins. There were 5 places in this chain where it could have happened, so it is a possibility that cannot be dismissed.

This part of the chain is where the external linkage happens.  For clarity I will only show the 930ae0 transaction, but the b52316 is functionally identical.
This transaction is either a simple coinjoin or it is a transaction deliberately structured to look like a coinjoin.  On the left we have one BTC in and one BTC out.  On the right we have some loose change in and 100 bits less out.  If you look at the transaction (here it is on blocktrail) you will see that 100 bits was the transaction fee paid.  Both sides of these transactions could very easily be their own transaction, so we cannot presume that the transaction is a single party transaction. This little bit of loose change washing continues to wash other amounts for quite some time (all the yellow transactions follow this pattern).
The exact same pattern is seen for the other transaction as well.  My conclusion is that the loose change address is intended to "wash" the bitcoins by spreading the taint of their source around.  However since the wash amount is less than the output amount then at least some of the BTC in the 1HRv8 address had to have come from the previous address, removing the plausible deniability.  This isn't the best washing job I've seen.

This may be a transaction only designed to test the waters for identification, but I think it is safe to say the thief intends to sell or spend the proceeds of the theft, if they haven't done so already.

Wednesday, January 7, 2015

Bitstamp Theft Change Addresses and Late Transactions

The coins in the stolen address are on the move, but at the moment (block 337938) they are in a closed system with no outside coins.  But there are some other interesting transactions to examine first.

When looking at the fact that BitStamp was hacked it is natural to immediately has how were they hacked.  With the information available I don't think we can give a definitive answer, and the evidence is a little unclear at the moment.  Assuming this was an outside actor there are two simple explanations: the private keys were stolen/leaked/compromised or the outside actor was inducing the BitStamp systems to pay him out.  However there are transactions that bring those two simple conclusions into doubt.

First, if this was simple key theft then why was the 1L2Js address generating change addresses that BitStamp was able to sweep into 1Jokt (that is presumed to be BitStamp cold storage).  Here's one address:

The b68738 transaction sent over 32 BTC to the theft address and created a change address 1BtGH with over 641 mBTC.  Less than an our later at transaction d1d835 a transaction placed exactly 10 BTC into the current BitStamp cold storage address.  The change address also peeled off into more cold storage transactions.  It is unlikely the thief was being nice and putting the coins back in the vault.  This happened two more times:
Transactions 2378aa and a8c199 both created separate change addresses and sent to the same theft address (which has since been swept up into another address).  However both of the change addresses were sept into BitStamp cold storage (and those change addresses also peeled into more cold storage).  Bit that's not the strangest part.  The 19C5D and 1BtGH addresses were not single use addresses.
The 19c5D address was an input to a theft transaction and there are still just over 10 mBTC sitting in an unspent output to 1BtGH.  The 1KPeo address is at the moment a single use address.  

Why on earth would the thief create change addresses that BitStamp could use to sweep the change into cold storage?  This is evidence in favor of someone inducing the BitStamp systems to pay out to a theft address.  But you would think that BitStamp would shut their old system down after a couple of days, and we wouldn't see any more large movements into the wallet except taggers and dusters. Except nearly 4BTC is not a dusting and tagging amount:
Over $1,000USD is a bit high for an address tag, and a bit high for misdirection. This coin was also generated after the thefts occurred, so it can't be a stray transaction that got lost in the network.  My best guess is that this was a deposit account for someone that didn't get the memo to stop depositing.  If this was a deposit address their last deposit was before the hack:
Then their deposit was used to tumble out some payment to another account prior to the attack as well. (BitStamp is reported to have it's own mixer/tumbler available for customer use.  I haven't used BitStamp and obviously can't open an account to verify at the moment.)

Better evidence of it being a long standing deposit can be seen with BlockTrail's summary of the address.  It is very spiky and goes to zero a lot, so it's not a long term holding address but a transactional one.

So the simple explanations are out the window.  The two leading explanations in my mind are that the theft stole the keys and the software and stood up their own instance of the hot wallet to do the theft, or that the compromised services at BitStamp are still up and running.  Either one of these could have been done by an inside agent or an outside agent.  Odds are BitStamp won't say much until the relevant law enforcement agencies has had their turn to examine the evidence.

Tuesday, January 6, 2015

Bitstamp Hot Wallet Theft - 2 to 5 Jan 2015

From 4 Jan to 6 Jan 2015 Bitstamp experienced a loss of nearly 19,000 Bitcoins from it's operational hot wallet (CoinDesk has a nice writeup about the issue).  A reddit thread identified what it believed to be the destination address for the stolen coins: 1L2JsXHPMYuAa9ugvHGLwkdstCPUDemNCf.  Evidence on the blockchain is consistent with this allegation.

First, this address was not seen prior to 4 Jan 2015, and within 24 hours it had amassed nearly a 18,000 BTC balance.



A graph of the transactions that involve the alleged address shows a lot of interaction between other addresses.



Older transactions tend to be to the right of this graph, and they form peel chains that in some cases are combined multiple times into one transaction.  It is interesting to note that some of the transactions form exact sums of the collected coins.  To the left of the graph we start to see some of the "dusters" putting dust amounts into the 1L2J wallet.

One of the concerns on the reddit thread was that the cold storage may be leaking.  If the address found in another comment is to be believed, then their cold storage is not leaking.


If anything coins are being moved into cold storage based on the uptick on 4 Jan 2015, so there is no evidence of a cold storage leak.

So how could this happen?  (Warning, baseless speculation follows).  There are two ways this could be done, first the private keys of the input addresses could have been leaked.  This would be consistent with their request to stop deposits.  The other possibility is that the attackers somehow are inducing their software to send all the bitcoins to an address of their choosing.

What would indicate private key compromise is continued activity and continued theft.  While we see continued activity on 6 January 2015 it appears to be of the "dust tagging" variety.  Consider this peel chain:
100 bits are peeled off four times from the same source address.  This is not consistent with the earlier transactions where the change addresses were single use interior addresses.

Second, there is evidence of deposit addresses not being cleared out after the bulk of the movements occured. Consider the address 18unRBGev1pkTo35zqCtCscSWUg4r9RNrh that looks to be a P2Pool payout address.


There were five deposits that were stolen durring the hack, but 2 addresses appear to be untouched on the 6th of January.  If the hacker had the private keys (along with bitstamp) then there would be a race to cash in those deposits.  If bitstamp was worried about a private key theft surely they would aggressively sweep it within the hour, instead of waiting nearly 8.

So why didn't BitStamp simply pull the plug the moment they were sure they were hacked?  Maybe they did and this was just the remaining transactions propagating through the system.  Or perhaps they were attempting to sweep what they could to their cold storage.  There was over 6,000 BTC of movement into cold storage near the tail end of the hack, representing $1.5 Million of value saved.



It could have been worse.

This analysis was performed when the blockchain was at height 337832, so any transactions after that block are not reflected in this post.

Monday, December 15, 2014

December 2014 FBI Silk Road Auction

Last week the FBI conducted it's second auction for the assets they seized from the "Silk Road" and "Dread Pirate Roberts."  The first auction was for approximately 26,000 bitcoins in June.  This auction was for 50,000 BTC.  This leaves 94,000 BTC to be auctioned off, likely in two more auctions.

This analysis was performed when the blockchain was approximately 334040 blocks high, so coins spent after that block will appear as green circles representing unspent outputs or "coins" as I call them.  The orange and yellow blocks are transactions, and the coins are the lines between the transactions, with earlier transactions above latter transactions, hence the tope end of the line is the output and the bottom part is the input.

FBI Bitcoin Stash

According to Forbes, the bitcoins seized from the "Dread Pirate Roberts" were spent to the address 1FfmbH...ppPH and were later moved to 1i7cZd...Dwgw.  This move was co-incident with the first silk road auction.  One coin held 100,000 BTC and the next over 44,000 BTC.


Sale to Bitcoin Investment Trust

On the 9th of December the Bitcoin Investment Trust announced via twitter that they won 48,000 BTC in the auction.  This announcement was made after they had received the coins from the FBI. On the day before the twitter announcement the presumed FBI stash started seeing a number of transactions consistent with this claim, so it will be presumed in this analysis that those coins went to the Bitcoin Investment Trust (BIT). The first transactions consisted of a series of "Bit Nickel" (0.05 BTC) transactions to address that would later hold larger value coins.  This occurred from blocks #333429 to #333433.

It is interesting to note that these test transactions came from both the $100k coin and the $44k coin from the June transactions concurrent with the first auction, not the transactions resulting from one of those stashed coins.  After those transactions were seen on the blockchian and presumably confirmed by the BIT the FBI then sent the balance of the sale in a single translation on block #33435. 

While it might be tempting to presume that the BIT controlled each of the paid out coins and did whatever the felt was appropriate the grouping of the transactions indicates to me they had some fiduciary duties they were fulfilling since each transaction below the initial payout tells a different story.  First let's look at the leftmost transaction.
This chain tells a very simple story of a small payout to 1M76b6...HjBS (which is a single use address at the moment), and then a movement into a p2sh address 39T3BB...goZL for the remainder.  The 39T3 address was topped off with another BTC from another thread that I presume to be sourced from the BIT, since that chain also fed the address we see in the second set of transactions.
Apart from a relatively small payout of about 147 BTC this group creates a very nice peel chain into the p2sh address 3LzDzK...7TJc.  This address has some significant holdings, with just under half of it coming from transactions not originating from this peel chain.  Presumably this is BIT cold storage, but I have nothing to pin that on other than intuition.  Finally the right two transactions tell yet a third story.
First, we see that one of the auction coins has yet to be spent after about a week.  The other 10K of coins went into a small (by this auction's standard) payout of 100 BTC and then the remainder went into a fairly complex series of transactions that this blog post won't go into.  Presumably it was the machinations of the BIT hot wallet, but it could have just as easily been a client putting their balance into a bitcoin mixer.  I have no way to tell on this one.

Sale to Tim Draper

According to Coin Telegraph Tim Draper won the remaining 2000 BTC in this auction.  We can see transactions consistent with this claim in transactions closely related to the BIT transactions.  This payout occurring after the transfers to the Bitcoin Investment Trust, so this also would bit the narrative that BIT's blocks were the highest bid blocks and were thus completely dispersed first.  Unlike the top bidder's sale the transaction went straight to a single address with no test transactions.  Perhaps BIT included that provision in their winning bid.  Howeve things worked out well for Tim Draper in the first auction without a test transaction and his proceeds represent less than a tenth of what he received last time.

Within a day the coin was the split into four bundles of 500 BTC a piece, ready for cold storage. This would have been 9:30 in the evening Silicon Valley time, so it could have been a transaction set up later in the day on the west coast. These were single signature addresses as opposed to the (presumably) multi-sig addresses BIT used. We shouldn't presume that these don't have multi-factor protections, it is just that those protections are not evident on the blockchain.

Conclusion

It is really interesting to be able to plow through the bitcoin transaction logs and identify the events that are being reported in major news outlets.  That is what I see as one of the greatest strengths of the blockchain: a publicly auditable record.  If only we could get some of those too-big-to-fail banks on a blockchain style ledger.  It might make it harder for management to shrug their shoulders and claim ignorance for what their rouge traders are doing.

Finally, I would like to apologize for the lack of updates.  Between my day job, a major conference, and several important family events my todo list ran much longer than my time and energy available.  But like a trail of breadcrumbs that the birds might eat, the trail will come in a very irregular schedule.

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Reinvestment of Crowdsale Donations (AngelShares AGS Part 2)

Last week I wrote about the AngleShares AGS Campaign.  A 200 day pre-sale where every day 0.25% of the tokens were handed out based on that days bitcoin (BTC) donations.  A similar sale was conducted in what were initially called ProtoShares (PTS), resulting in a 50/50 split between protoshares patrons and bitcoin patrons.  One interesting finding was that the "buy daily from one wallet" purchasing pattern was evident in the transaction structures.

Reinvesting Shares

This week I present what I think is the most relevant finding: individuals who received compensation from the campaign used that compensation to re-buy into AngleShares.  Sometimes one specific payout went entirely into the reinvestment.  I was introduced to this concern by reading this post on bitsharestalk.org while researching the original crowdsales.  This forum is kind of the bitcointalk.org for AngleShares, ProtoShares, and BitSharesX. You should read the whole thread before or after this blog post.  It's a fun one.

In that thread only one direct re-buy was posted. In my analysis of the blockchain I discovered 5 distinct distributions that resulted in bitcoin being re-donated to the campaign.  There were a lot more transaction paths between the two, but once a transaction chain goes through a tumbler it takes a bit more analysis to prove that either side of the connection could have been possible, and then more analysis to determine how likely that connection is.  And all but these 5 connections didn't pass a simple eyeball test because the excluded paths were tenuously connected by a small BTC transaction interior to a tumbler network.  I also stopped examining connections that were more than 9 transactions deep.  At that point I felt the likelihood they were no longer controlled by the initial receiver was too high to warrant analysis.

Syncad/Keyhotee

The first connected transaction I found was the most obvious.  SynaptiCAD, who according to the spreadsheets were the contractors responsible for a piece of software called Keyhotee, took their March payment and after a couple of months started buying angelshares with it.
Keyhotee 12 Mar 2014 distribution
This graph shows only the first two buys.  There were a total of about 12 single bitcoin buys in this buy daily chain, and about 41BTC remains unspent at the bottom of the chain from their last buy on 6 Jun 2014.  This one is the most directly connected buy.

Hypertas

The four other reinvestments came through a company called Hypertas, which according to the bitsharestalk thread is a company responsible for the payroll and payments for some of the operational expenses.  They have posted a spreadsheet detailing the individual withdraws, which proved invaluable in validating my analysis.

The first connected payment occurred on 24 March 2014.
Angelshares 24 Mar 2014 Distribution Partial Graph
Hypertas controlled and split the bitcoin until a retainer was paid to Stan on 2 May 2014.  Stan then proceeded to reinvest most of the payment.  On 7 May there was a transaction that sent 4 BTC to some other transaction that I am fairly confident was not related to an angelshares buy, but a total of 5.93 BTC was reinvested.

On 11 May a second connected payment started, and it involved two separate accounts according to the spreadsheet.
Angelshares 11 May 2014 Distribution Partial Graph
The left branch starting with the 7f86af transaction was attributed to a "admin retainer".  The branch on the right ultimately was payed out to Stan.  The transactions highlighted in blue include inputs not from this payout.  I'll come back to this later.  Stan also payed out 8.03 from this transaction to another developer working on infrastructure and services for BitSharesX.  Although it's not clear why it came from Stan's coins.

On 31 May a third connected payment started.  This contains the transactions in question in the bitsharestalk forum.
Angleshares 31 May 2014 Distribution partial graph
This graph had two external inputs as well.  The 686d96 transaction had input from what I appears to be a tumbler/mixer of some sort, such as SharedCoin.  The 40ee80 transaction includes about a half a bitcoin from the previous graph, attributable to Stan.  Again this graph shows multiple operations payouts. The left belonging to the admin retainer accout (which has coins mixed from Stan at 40ee80).  The second belongs to Cason, who invests their entire payment over three days.

The final connected transaction discovered is from 24 Jun 2014.
Angleshares 24 Jun 2014 Distribution partial graph
This graph is very simple compared to the previous two.  Stan received a distribution with which he re-invested the entire amount over 7 days.  There were no external inputs or outputs.

It's All Connected

The kicker for all of this, of course, is that it is all connected. If we load all the hypertas graphs together we get one large map of Angelshares buys where the sources come almost exclusively from Angleshares distributions, with two small inputs form a daily buy tree that originated from a tumbler output.  Some of the reinvested buy trees combine BTC from multiple distributions.

Composite Angleshares/Hypertas reinvestment graph
If you read the bitshares thread you will see, after wading through a legal story, metaphor, and a picture of a greek ship, that there is an important public statement form Stan:
As for recycling of AGS, we have said we would not do that.  Period.  We have also said that once we pay employees or vendors for their services, the money is theirs to do with what they please.  It does not surprise us that people working in this industry would want to donate some or all of their earnings to the cause and we have publicly encouraged this from the very beginning. [https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=4958.msg65351#msg65351]
These graphs support the claim that it is the employees and vendors were the ones paying for the shares.  Stan did not come out and say that he himself had repurchased in the past and that he expected to repurchase in the future. But it should be noted that the transactions in the forum post were not related to any of Stan's purchases but belongs to Cason.  There is also no indication of how much external bitcoin the employees brought in either (the 0bb534 transaction indicates at least Stan brought in external bitcoin).  There is nothing necessarily illegal or unethical in these behaviors, it can be viewed using your salary to buy stock on the open market for the company you for.  Since this was an unregulated sale there were no requirements for aggressive reporting on purchases like this.

Conclusion

By analyzing the transitions in the bitcoin blockchain and combining that with publicly shared ledgers we were able to validate a claim made on a message board that reinvestment into a public crowd funding campaign was occurring.  The reinvestment appeared to be consistent with claims by the management that employees paying with bitcoin that was their salary or other compensation were responsible for the reinvestment.  One of the reinvesting employees, however, turned out to be the manager/officer making that claim.

There are also two points that need further clarification: what is the admin retainer account, and what happened with the 6b32ef transaction on 1 Jun 2014 where Stan payed for an expense attributed to Hypertas.  These seem benign, but are worthy of explanation from Stan and Hypertas.  [Edited to add: in the comments Stan clarified that the admin retainer goes to his wife for admin tasks performed, and the 6b32ef was Stan paying out of his own pocket while hypertas bitcoin wallet issues were being resolved, and he was later reimbursed.]

For my next post we will dive into college football and follow up on one of the entertaining stories from bitcoin's ride at the top of the market.